Oops, never mind: Back in June 2000, open source software guru Eric Raymond boldly predicted the death of Microsoft within a year. In an interview with the Chicago Tribune, he predicted that a confluence of business factors would "topple Microsoft by first quarter, or early second quarter of 2001". Of course, it's now the fourth quarter of 2002 and Microsoft is still going strong. Although I have a lot of respect for Eric Raymond, it's clear that his predictions were seriously off target.